Showing posts with label futurist. Show all posts
Showing posts with label futurist. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 02, 2013

10884: Trendspotting Con Artists.

JWTIntelligence—which is clearly an oxymoron—unveiled 100 Things to Watch in 2013, a holdover event from the days when self-proclaimed futurist and trendspotter Marian Salzman worked for the Commodore’s crew. BTW, Salzman is currently employed by Havas PR and just released an e-book titled, “What’s Next? What to Expect in 2013.” The woman still takes credit for having identified wiggers, while JWTIntelligence boasts having trendspotted Lady Gaga. The latest JWTIntelligence list includes:

Allergen-Free

Chia Seeds

The End of Voicemail

Gender-Blurred Toys

Mobile-Optimized Goes Mainstream

Online Groceries

Responsive Web Design

Self-Service

Tablet Shopping

Video Games As Art

Window Shopping

Yogurt Shops

Wow. Looks like someone spent serious time on Google. In 2013, clients should watch where JWTIntelligence and Salzman are billing their hours.

Sunday, May 29, 2011

8834: Laurel Cutler Cuts to The Chase.


From Advertising Age…

Laurel Cutler on How to Win in a Future With No Mass Market

Advertising Hall of Fame Inductee and Futurist on why Marketers Need to Be ‘Intensely Pleasing’ the Few

By Rance Crain

Laurel Cutler is a futurist, and she doesn’t like what she sees on the horizon and further out.

I was talking with Laurel at her Park Avenue apartment for a video interview on the occasion of her induction into the Advertising Hall of Fame, and I brought up something she said some years ago about consumers searching for “the deep that unites us.” But, she said back then, “we’re too occupied with what divides us and the differences that separate us.”

I said to Laurel that her words describe the current political landscape. She replied that they’re more true now than when she said them.

“I think we are so divided we are absolutely paralyzed now. I don’t know how to get out of it. I’m terribly discouraged. We all should be. Division ain’t gonna get us anywhere.

“You know, it took me a long time to understand that a group of medium intelligent people could outthink one genius. But it’s true. If you do it together and you collaborate, you can do extraordinary things. But we’re not together and we don’t collaborate, and we’re not getting anything done.”

Laurel contended that the most serious problem in the country “is the fact that the gap between the rich and the poor is so enormous, and the middle class has lost its footing. I think that is horrifying and tragic.”

Laurel has said that if the ‘80s were the Me Decade, the ‘90s were the Re Decade, as consumers renewed, restructured, reengineered and reprioritized “to regain a sense of control and simplify their lives.” So, I asked her, where are we now? She paused a moment and answered: “The No Decade.”

Laurel got into the futurist business by way of marketing planning. She was working for the ad agency Leber Katz Partners (which later merged with Foote, Cone & Belding), and she was the first person to bring marketing planning to the U.S. “I didn’t invent marketing planning. It was being done all over the U.K., and being done particularly well by JWT in the U.K. I stole it. I absolutely stole it. I said, ‘Why aren’t we doing that in the United States? It’s a very good way to do advertising, and it would be new and revolutionary in the United States.’” The name, she said was Stanley Katz’s. “I hated the name. I would have called it planning. Marketing planning has always struck me as a terrible name. But Stan was usually right, and he was my boss.”

Stan Katz also played a big role in making Laurel one of the most prominent futurists in the industry. “He said to me one day, ‘Sit down and tell me what’s going to happen to the tobacco market in five years’ time.’ I said ‘How in the hell do I know?’ He said, ‘Figure it out.’ So he locked me in an office for 20 days, and I figured it out.”

Laurel said she has never been very popular with the research crowd “because I think research is after the fact, and what we did was before the fact. And I don’t think there is any available research on the future. You have to use your head and your thinking and history and guesswork. It’s really elaborate guesswork.”

Laurel also believes that now and in the future there is no mass market. “Delight the few, attract the many” is her mantra.

“You are a lot better off intensely pleasing a niche that can grow than you are boring most people. And if they’re not … intensely involved, they’re not going to buy it anyway. And we worry too much about offending the people who don’t care about the proposition to begin with.” Laurel has worked for General Motors, Chrysler and Ford, and she says the car companies “didn’t even think about the market they were dealing with. They didn’t acknowledge consumers. … When I was in Detroit they thought their customer was the dealer.”

Laurel maintains that the car guy’s job is to develop products that consumers either love or hate, rather than vehicles that everybody likes a little.

“That’s where mass businesses are. Nobody cares a hell of a lot, but nobody dislikes it enough to kill it. That’s the wrong proposition. The right proposition is marvelous. Only two people think so. [Then] there will be 10. There will be 40. There will be 100. There will be 1,000. There will be a business.”

Thursday, January 03, 2008

Essay 4933


Adweek once again permits self-proclaimed futurist huckster Marian Salzman to dazzle us with her amazing grasp of the obvious. Salzman and co-moron Ann Mack recently brainstormed “80 Things to Watch in 2008,” and Agency Spy actually posted the nonsense. The list included British Actress Keira Knightley, Mobile Technology Explosion, U.S. Presidential Election and Weak Dollar/Strong Euro. Wow, the gals must have Googled™ an entire afternoon for those gems. If there’s a legitimate trend to spot, it’s that Salzman is a world-class windbag whose predictions don’t ever seem to positively affect her agency’s work. Hence, MultiCultClassics is only posting the first two paragraphs of the Adweek drivel.

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Art & Commerce: That’s So Next Year

By Marian Salzman and Ann Mack

With more companies, brands, products, messages, media outlets, content purveyors and platforms out there than ever before, people are locked in constant decision-making mode. What’s worthy of my time? What exactly should I pay attention to? And what should I buy into?

As trendspotters, it’s our job to make sense of the chaos, to connect seemingly disconnected details and put them into context, all with an eye toward what it means for the future. Our job is also about recognizing patterns from the past that are emerging in new but eerily predictable ways.

[It’s really not worthy of your time, not exactly worth paying attention to, and you shouldn’t buy into it, but you can read the complete eerily predictable bullshit here.]